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China?s economy grew by 10.3% in 2010, marking its fastest annual pace since the onset of the global crisis. Growth in foreign trade recovered rapidly, surpassing pre-crisis levels.
Crédito y Caución estimates that corporate insolvencies will decrease by 5% year-on-year - to 30,000 cases - in 2011, provided that some downside risks will not materialise.
Credito y Caución estimates that corporate insolvencies in France will decrease by 5% year-on-year - to 49,000 cases - in 2011. However, this figure is still high above pre-crisis levels.
India?s economic fundamentals remain relatively strong, with GDP forecast to grow 9% this year and 8.7% in 2012. However, public debt and budget deficit remain structural problems.
With more than 16 months of import cover, Brazil?s international liquidity position is excellent. Solvency is also robust, with moderate foreign debt service ratios.
After a 17 % increase in business insolvencies 2010, Crédito y Caución expects a further rise in the coming months, especially in construction, food, consumer durables, IT, and retail sales.
Crédito y Caución expects business failures to decrease 10% year-on-year in 2011, to 51,700 cases. However, this is still far higher than the 28,100 cases of 2007.
For 2011, Credito y Caución forecast a decrease in United Kingdoms insolvencies of 5%, signalling a gradual adjustment away from the unusually high level seen in 2009.
In the short term, the public sector will be able to meet its obligations, but a question mark still hangs over the mid-term future.
After this years strong economic performance, Thailands GDP growth is forecast to slow to 4% in 2011, as Thai exports will be affected by a decrease in global growth.
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