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In May 2010 the months-long downward trend recorded for the median Expected Default Frecuency, the monthly indicator of Atradius Group, stopped.
Crédito y Caución expects, short term, further reduction on non payments in Canada. That said, not all sectors share this trend.
Italy forecast a GDP grow of 0.6% in 2010, while the International Monetary Fund and the European Union raised its forecast to 0.8%.
Following an increase of 54.6% of insolvencies in 2009, this year it is expected that the number of business failures will reduce about 10% in Slovakia.
France recorded a rather disappointing growth rate in Q1 of 2010, but improves the companies liquidity, coupled with a restoration of margins and operating profits
The confidence of the business sector in the domestic economy rose by 3.4 points in aApril, and is now 14 points above its lowest level of April 2009.
Late payments increased 28% in Finland. However, for the rest of the year Crédito y Caución expects overall insolvency decrease to continue.
Since the beginning of 2010 the median expected default have shown a robust improving downward trend, but the default risk levels are still significantly higher than previous years.
The recovery in industrial production remains fragile, not least because business loans have decreased substantially. Credit managers expect business loan conditions to relax in Q2.
Export recovery has gathered speed, but private consumption is acting as a brake. Payment problems are higher in retail, construction, transport, and the public sectors.
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